Model Reduction Methods for Vector Autoregressive Processes

Model Reduction Methods for Vector Autoregressive Processes
Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages : 226
Release :
ISBN-13 : 9783642170294
ISBN-10 : 3642170293
Rating : 4/5 (93 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Model Reduction Methods for Vector Autoregressive Processes by : Ralf Brüggemann

Download or read book Model Reduction Methods for Vector Autoregressive Processes written by Ralf Brüggemann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-09-25 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. 1 Objective of the Study Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become one of the dominant research tools in the analysis of macroeconomic time series during the last two decades. The great success of this modeling class started with Sims' (1980) critique of the traditional simultaneous equation models (SEM). Sims criticized the use of 'too many incredible restrictions' based on 'supposed a priori knowledge' in large scale macroeconometric models which were popular at that time. Therefore, he advo cated largely unrestricted reduced form multivariate time series models, unrestricted VAR models in particular. Ever since his influential paper these models have been employed extensively to characterize the underlying dynamics in systems of time series. In particular, tools to summarize the dynamic interaction between the system variables, such as impulse response analysis or forecast error variance decompo sitions, have been developed over the years. The econometrics of VAR models and related quantities is now well established and has found its way into various textbooks including inter alia Llitkepohl (1991), Hamilton (1994), Enders (1995), Hendry (1995) and Greene (2002). The unrestricted VAR model provides a general and very flexible framework that proved to be useful to summarize the data characteristics of economic time series. Unfortunately, the flexibility of these models causes severe problems: In an unrestricted VAR model, each variable is expressed as a linear function of lagged values of itself and all other variables in the system.


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