International Financial Connection and Stock Return Comovement

Download or read book International Financial Connection and Stock Return Comovement written by Mr.Sakai Ando and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-22 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies whether bilateral international financial connection data help predict bilateral stock return comovement. It is shown that, when the United States is chosen as the benchmark, a larger U.S. portfolio investment asset position on the destination economy predicts a stronger stock return comovement between them. For large economies such as the United States and Germany, the portfolio investment position is also the best predictor among other connection variables. The paper discusses with a simple general equilibrium portfolio model that the empirical pattern is consistent with the behavior of index investors who trade in response to risk-on/risk-off shocks.