Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and Related Topics

Download or read book Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-07-26 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the ultimate goal of economic studies to predict how the economy develops—and what will happen if we implement different policies. To be able to do that, we need to have a good understanding of what causes what in economics. Prediction and causality in economics are the main topics of this book's chapters; they use both more traditional and more innovative techniques—including quantum ideas -- to make predictions about the world economy (international trade, exchange rates), about a country's economy (gross domestic product, stock index, inflation rate), and about individual enterprises, banks, and micro-finance institutions: their future performance (including the risk of bankruptcy), their stock prices, and their liquidity. Several papers study how COVID-19 has influenced the world economy. This book helps practitioners and researchers to learn more about prediction and causality in economics -- and to further develop this important research direction.